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Heel Tough Blog: Who Is The Next to Commit?

Trevion Stevenson became the first of what is expected to be two new commitments to the Tar Heels 2021 class based on the tweet sent out on Friday afternoon. With speculation flying around as to who the other mystery commit may be, we take a look at some of the primary names that are being thrown around and tell you the likelihood that each player is the next player to commit to the class.

Tri-W News

2021 5✮ RB Will Shipley- Weddington (Weddington, NC)

Chance: 0%

This is the craziest name that we have seen thrown out there and can confirm to you that the extremely talented all-purpose back will not be flipping anytime soon. The staff is likely still staying in touch with him, but he seems to be all in on Clemson.


2021 4✮ RB Evan Pryor- Hough (Cornelius, NC)

Chance: 0%

Like Shipley, it’s not far-fetched to believe that the staff is still attempting to remain in contact with Pryor, but at this time Pryor is not a flip candidate. He is still solidly locked in at Ohio State right now and still remains arguably their most voicetorous recruiter amongst their current commits.

2021 4✮ OLB Barrett Carter- North Gwinnett (Suwanee, GA)

Chance: 0%

This another name that was thrown out that we know it won’t be. Like Shipley, there has been no signs that Carter is looking elsewhere as of this time. Despite the connection with current Tar Heel Josh Downs, the team never really seemed to be in a great spot for him, so even if he was to decommit, it’s hard to see Carolina having a chance.

Gannett File Photo- The Dispatch

2021 4✮ DT Payton Page- Dudley (Greensboro, NC)

Chance: 1%

The Tar Heels are still in need of a guy at defensive tackle, but it almost certainly won’t be Page. Most of the current commits have seemed to distance themselves from the Greensboro-area defensive tackle and the staff hasn’t been nearly as close to him as they were in the beginning of his recruitment. Part of that is likely due to his stronger connections with Clemson and Tennessee and the concerns over his size. The only reason there is even a slight chance here is because of the early connection he had with the staff.

2021 4✮ CB Jordan Hancock- North Gwinnett (Suwanee, GA)

Chance: 2%

Hancock said earlier today on social media that he has made his decision. While the Tar Heels connection with him is definitely a little stronger than the one with Carter, the pick will almost certainly be Ohio State, a school that is said to be his dream school. Cryptic tweets from many of Ohio State’s current commits also seem to suggest that will be the move and soon. Since we can’t confirm there is no chance here, we’ll say there is still the slimmest of chances that he is the second commit here.


2021 4✮ WDE Zaire Patterson- Winston-Salem Prep (Winston-Salem, NC)

Chance: 5%

This was the name that took over message boards for the majority of the late afternoon and early evening. It wouldn’t be too crazy to think there could be a decommitment here with everything that has gone on at Clemson recently, but that rumor has cooled off a lot, especially after landing Stevenson on Saturday. Patterson is definitely someone that the staff is still in communication with at this point, but it still seems unlikely that he is one that the current commits are talking about.

@TyrionI27- Twitter

2021 4✮ DT Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins- Gaffney (Gaffney, SC)

Chance: 10%

As we said above, this is a position of need for the Tar Heels in the 2021 class and their top target clearly seems to be Ingram-Dawkins. Earlier this week, he teased a top schools list, but with his recruitment you can never really tell exactly where he is in terms of a timeline. It doesn’t feel like Ingram-Dawkins is at the point of committing just yet, but you never know and he is as closely tied to the Tar Heels as any of the prospects that we’ve talked about so far.

Don Callahan- Inside Carolina

2021 4✮ TE Bryson Nesbit- South Mecklenburg (Charlotte, NC)

Chance: 20%

While defensive tackle is a need in this class, tight end is the biggest remaining need in this class. The team’s top target at the position hasn’t signaled that he is close to a commitment, but he has spent a lot of time around Tar Heel commits in recent weeks at both the Blazin’ 7-on-7 Tournament and the VTO Combine. It already feels like it’s down to the Tar Heels and the South Carolina Gamecocks so there is a chance that this commitment could be closer than we originally thought. The question is, is that commitment the one the current commits have been teasing?

Andrew Ivins- 247Sports

2021 3✮ K Andres Borregales- Chaminade-Madonna Prep (Hollywood, FL)

Chance: 62%

When the Tar Heels offered Borregales on Wednesday, he immediately became a flip candidate. In the past few months, he has been very active on social media with Tar Heel fans and coaches and that has put them in a great position to complete the flip. Borregales has said that he will need to take a visit before flipping and the scheduled virtual visit, which is reportedly scheduled for Monday, might be what seals it. Still, as of right now, he remains committed to Miami and his family are big supporters of the Hurricanes, especially with his brother, José, transferring there. This feels like the best guess, though, and with everything that we have been seeing from him, it appears Borregales is pretty sold on the idea of being a Tar Heel.

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